PM₂.₅ sources in Skopje

What’s actually in Skopje’s fine particle air?

Most fine particle pollution (PM₂.₅) in Skopje comes from residential solid-fuel heating, especially in winter, with road traffic as the second key source. Dust, industrial fuel-oil combustion, open burning and secondary particles formed in the atmosphere each add smaller but important shares.

See the source mix by station

Based on UGD/UNDP source apportionment, Skopje Air Quality Plan, health studies and World Bank assessments.

Dominant source

≈ 1/3 of PM₂.₅

Biomass / residential heating annually at the urban background station.

Winter peak

50–60%

Wood / coal heating in some winter months at Karpoš.

Traffic share

≈ 18–23%

Annual PM₂.₅ share from traffic at background vs roadside stations.

Dust & secondary

~25–30%

Combined dust and secondary aerosols across the year, depending on site.

City-wide picture

What drives PM₂.₅ in Skopje?

Across all studies, the story is consistent: solid-fuel heating dominates, traffic comes second, and everything else layers on top.

Heating as the main source

Residential solid-fuel heating (wood, coal, mixed fuels) is the single largest source of fine particles in Skopje – about one-third of annual PM₂.₅ and up to 50–60% in winter months at the background site.

Traffic as #2

Road traffic (exhaust, brake and tyre wear, resuspended road dust) adds roughly one-fifth of PM₂.₅ at key urban locations, with higher shares near busy roads.

Other layers

Soil and road dust, fuel-oil / industrial combustion, open burning and secondary particles each contribute smaller but important shares (typically 5–15% depending on station and season).

Same mix across the valley

All five receptor sites in the Skopje valley show the same basic source mix: heating + traffic + dust + secondary aerosols, with some areas getting extra traffic, industry or open burning on top.

Source groups

The main PM₂.₅ sources

Biomass icon

Biomass / residential heating

Wood, coal and mixed fuels burned in household stoves and boilers. Dominant annual source and main driver of winter peaks.

Traffic icon

Traffic

Vehicle exhaust, brake and tyre wear, and traffic-related dust. More important at roadside and commuter corridors.

Dust icon

Dust / soil

Resuspended road dust and soil, especially in dry periods and summer months with little rain.

Industry icon

Industry / fuel oil

Heavy fuel oil and industrial combustion, identified by metals like vanadium and nickel in filters.

Open burning icon

Open burning / waste

Burning of agricultural residues and mixed waste, with spikes in spring and early summer.

Secondary particles icon

Secondary particles

Sulfate and nitrate particles formed in the atmosphere from SO₂ and NOx, often regionally transported.

De-icing salt icon

De-icing salt

Road salt and related material used in winter, visible as sodium and chloride peaks on filters.

Other / uncertainty

Remaining small sources and model uncertainty after the main factors are accounted for in PM₂.₅ mass.

Source mix

Annual PM₂.₅ source mix by station

Approximate annual shares from the UGD/UNDP source-apportionment study (PMF) at five sites in the Skopje valley. Values are rounded and grouped into the same source categories as above.

Bars show approximate annual % by source group. “Other” captures remaining small contributions and model uncertainty.

What this means in practice

Karpoš represents an “average city” background. Novo Lisiče is a roadside hot spot where traffic and fuel-oil shares are higher. Gazi Baba and Hrom combine industry and housing, while Volkovo shows more dust and open burning from the rural edge. In all cases, biomass burning is the largest slice.

Monitoring network

Stations and what they represent

These stations appear across the source-apportionment study and the Air Quality Plan. Together they define how we talk about “city”, “neighbourhood” and “background” air in Skopje.

Karpoš

Urban background

Represents an “average city” environment away from direct industrial stacks or the busiest roads. Main reference site for detailed PM₂.₅ source analysis.

Novo Lisiče (Lisiče)

Urban traffic / residential

Near busy roads and dense housing. Often records some of the highest PM levels, with a stronger signal from traffic, fuel oil and open burning on top of heavy heating.

Gazi Baba (Avtokomanda / Železara)

Industrial / residential

Mixed residential and industrial area downwind of major facilities and road links. Used to see how industry, heating and traffic combine here.

Gjorče Petrov – Hrom

Residential + local industry

Western edge of Skopje with household solid-fuel heating and local industrial activity. Captures neighbourhood-level impacts of heating plus nearby plants.

Gjorče Petrov – Volkovo

Peri-urban / rural edge

Transitional zone with fields, scattered housing and open land. Important for understanding dust, open burning and inflow of pollution into the valley.

Centar

Central urban, traffic-influenced

Near the city centre. Shows how denser central areas compare with more exposed outskirts, with lower heating signal but clear traffic influence.

Rektorat (Rectorate)

Urban background / university

Campus-adjacent station capturing a mix of background city air and nearby traffic.

Miladinovci

Suburban / rural background

East of Skopje. Tracks regional background and refinery / industrial influence outside the dense urban core.

Lazaropole

Remote regional background

High-altitude station used to characterise regional background air in North Macedonia; not in the Skopje valley but useful for comparison.

Full-year PM₂.₅ source percentages are only available for Karpoš and Novo Lisiče. Gazi Baba, Hrom and Volkovo have shorter campaigns mainly used to check whether the source mix is similar across the valley. The Air Quality Plan and health studies usually aggregate all Skopje urban stations to describe city-wide concentrations.

Seasonal story

Winter vs summer: how the recipe changes

PMF results show a sharp seasonal shift: heating + secondary nitrate in winter, dust + traffic in dry summer months.

Approximate contribution shares based mainly on the Karpoš background site. Winter values include a strong secondary nitrate and de-icing salt signal; summer values show dust and traffic domination.

Neighbourhood differences

Same main mix across Skopje, local twists by area

The source apportionment shows that all five main study sites share the same basic set of sources: biomass, traffic, dust, fuel oil, open burning, secondary aerosols and road salt. Each area has its own emphasis.

Karpoš

“Cleaner” background

Less direct traffic and industrial impact; strong biomass and dust with relatively lower fuel-oil share. Used as the main reference background site.

Novo Lisiče

Roadside hot spot

Higher shares of traffic, fuel-oil combustion and open burning on top of strong biomass. Busy residential and commuter corridor with frequent peaks.

Gazi Baba / Železara

Industry + housing

Strong influence of industrial and combined sources together with household heating, reflecting its mixed residential–industrial character.

Gjorče Petrov – Hrom

Local industry + heating

Western neighbourhood where local industry and solid-fuel heating combine, producing clear winter peaks and notable metal signatures in the filters.

Gjorče Petrov – Volkovo

Dust + open burning

Stronger influence of dust and open burning from surrounding fields and the rural edge, on top of the common Skopje heating and traffic background.

Across Skopje, biomass burning dominates PM₂.₅ everywhere. These local differences show where traffic, industry or open fires add extra layers on top of the valley-wide background.

Behind the charts

How the source study was done – and its limits

Short version for humans, with expandable sections if you want the nerdy details.

How the PM₂.₅ source study works
  • Researchers collected 24-hour PM₂.₅ samples on filters at five sites in the Skopje valley over about one year.
  • Each filter was analysed for metals, major ions and different forms of carbon in the laboratory.
  • A statistical method called Positive Matrix Factorisation (PMF) grouped chemicals that rise and fall together into factors matching wood smoke, traffic, dust, fuel oil, open burning, secondary aerosols and road salt.
  • The model then estimated how much each factor contributed to the measured PM₂.₅ mass at each station and in each month.
Key limitations to keep in mind
  • Only Karpoš and Novo Lisiče have full-year chemical data; Gazi Baba, Hrom and Volkovo are shorter campaigns, so annual percentages there are less robust.
  • PMF cannot perfectly separate overlapping sources (for example exhaust vs road dust), so some dust and traffic signal is merged, especially at Novo Lisiče.
  • Regional transport shows up mainly as secondary sulfate and nitrate factors – the model does not identify individual stacks outside Skopje.
  • Results reflect one specific study year. The exact numbers may change, but the overall structure (heating > traffic > others) is expected to hold.
How scientists recognise each source in the lab

Each factor has its own “fingerprint” – typical combinations of chemical species:

  • Biomass burning: high potassium (K), chloride (Cl), nitrate, organic and elemental carbon.
  • Traffic: elemental carbon, copper, zinc, iron and barium from brake and tyre wear.
  • Soil / dust: aluminium, silicon, calcium, iron and titanium.
  • Fuel / residual oil: vanadium and nickel plus sulfur, pointing to heavy fuel oil combustion.
  • Open fire burning: EC/OC, K, Cl plus metals like Cu, Zn, Pb, As from burning mixed waste.
  • Secondary sulfate / nitrate: sulfate, nitrate and ammonium formed in the atmosphere from regional SO₂ and NOx.
  • De-icing salt: very strong sodium and chloride, sometimes calcium and magnesium, peaking in winter along roads.

Health context

How bad are the levels for people?

Health-focused research using Skopje’s monitoring data finds that annual PM₁₀ and PM₂.₅ concentrations are roughly two to three times higher than current EU annual limit values and WHO guideline levels. These elevated levels are linked to significant premature mortality and hospital admissions, compared with a scenario where air quality meets guideline values.

The health studies group the main sources of outdoor air pollution as solid-fuel household heating, industrial facilities and traffic – the same mix shown in the source diagrams on this page.

Where this page comes from

Key documents behind the numbers

  • Source Apportionment Study for Skopje Urban Area – backbone for percentages, seasonal graphs and factor descriptions at Karpoš, Novo Lisiče and three campaign sites.
  • Air Quality Improvement Plan for the Skopje Agglomeration – official station list and emission inventory confirming that residential heating > traffic > industry for PM emissions.
  • Assessing the Health Impact of Air Pollution in Macedonian Cities (BJSTR Study) – city-wide concentrations and health burden estimates, used for health context.
  • Institutional and Functional Review of Air Quality Management in North Macedonia (World Bank) – international validation and policy framing, emphasising heating as priority #1.